Tag Archives: United Airlines

PlaneBusiness Banter Posted

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Hello everyone. This week’s issue of PlaneBusiness Banter is now posted.

Last week was one huge week in Airlineland as not only did it mark the end of the third quarter, but the United/Continental deal closed on Friday. All of this came on top of the big news from Monday — Southwest Airlines was buying AirTran for $1.4 billion in stock and cash.

Not surprisingly this week’s issue of PBB is very heavy on U.S. domestic airline analysis. Who could be hurt by the Southwest news? Who could be helped? We go down all the scenarios.

And no, unlike a lot of industry observers and at least one analyst, I don’t think Delta Air Lines is going to take a huge hit as a result of the move by Southwest into Atlanta. More on why I think that is the case in this week’s issue.

Continental reported its traffic and RASM estimates after the close of trading Friday. The airline’s RASM estimate for September came in much higher than analysts had forecast. Will United’s follow suit? Yes, this marked Continental’s final traffic report as a swinging single.

The feeling before this announcement was that the U.S. domestic industry has experienced a drop-off in revenue during September. But now we know that at least one airline didn’t see a drop-off.

Thursday marked the end of the third quarter. And wow — was it a great one for the airline sector. So great in fact that we even had one airline stock post a triple-digit gain for the quarter. A gold star if you can guess what stock I am talking about.

But even without that stellar performance (which was, arguably merger-driven), the rest of the group enjoyed an extremely strong quarter. We run down the winners and the handful of losers.

For that matter, last week was a good week for the sector as well — as the Southwest/AirTran merger moved stocks higher. Especially shares of AirTran, which took the weekly honors for the group.

All this and more in this week’s issue of PlaneBusiness Banter.

Subscribers can access this week’s issue of PBB here.

It’s Official: United Airlines (Under New Management) Takes to the Skies

How do you know when an airline merger is official?

When someone you know who works at Continental Airlines sends you an email and his email address has suddenly changed to John Smith@united.com.

Yep. The deal is done. Today United and Continental officially became one entity, the largest airline in the world, with both airlines operating under the umbrella of parent United Continental Holdings, Inc. Shares of the new company also began trading this morning under United’s old ticker on the NYSE, UAL.

(I for one am very glad to see the airline stop trading on the Nasdaq exchange under that annoying UAUA ticker.)

Which reminds me. I need to go in and reconfigure our airline stock ticker widget over there to the right.

Pardon me while I go try to remember how to do this.

Nine Years Later: September 11

Nine years ago today I received a phone call from a friend at approximately 8:10 A.M. My friend said in a rather quiet and measured tone, “I think you need to turn on the TV. A plane has hit the World Trade Center.”

I responded, rather disinterestedly, “What kind of plane?”

“Don’t know,” he said.

“Turn on the TV,” he directed.

“So how bad is it?” I asked, still, obviously, not grasping the seriousness of the situation.

“Turn on the TV. Now,” was his only response.

I hung up. I turned on the TV.

And so the morning of September 11, 2001 began to unfold. In horrible fashion.

This year, the anniversary of that horrible day hits on the same weekend PlaneBusiness Banter resumes its weekly publishing schedule — after our usual August hiatus from almost all things airline-related.

As we always do, we will honor those airline employees who lost their lives that day in this week’s issue of PBB.

Here too, we do the same.

While the world takes a moment today to commemorate the events that happened that day in a much larger sense — particularly the thousands of people who died in New York City — we here at PlaneBusiness, as we have since that awful day, focus on our departed airline family members. Those crew members who went to work on what was a beautiful day in the Northeast that day — but never came home.

American Airlines Flight 11, Boston to Los Angeles, crashed into the World Trade Center.

CREW: John Ogonowski, Dracut, Mass., Captain; Thomas McGuinness, Portsmouth, N.H., First Officer; Barbara Arestegui, flight attendant; Jeffrey Collman, flight attendant; Sara Low, flight attendant; Karen Martin, flight attendant; Kathleen Nicosia, flight attendant; Betty Ong, flight attendant; Jean Roger, flight attendant; Dianne Snyder, flight attendant; Madeline Sweeney, flight attendant.

United Airlines Flight 175, Boston to Los Angeles, crashed into the World Trade Center.

CREW: Victor J. Saracini, Lower Makefield Township, Pa., Captain; Michael Horrocks, First Officer; Amy Jarret, flight attendant; Al Marchand, flight attendant; Amy King, flight attendant; Kathryn Laborie, flight attendant; Michael Tarrou, flight attendant; Alicia Titus, flight attendant.

American Airlines Flight 77, Washington to Los Angeles, crashed into the Pentagon.

CREW: Charles Burlingame, Captain; David Charlebois, First Officer; Michele Heidenberger, flight attendant; Jennifer Lewis, flight attendant; Kenneth Lewis, flight attendant; and Renee May, flight attendant.

United Airlines Flight 93, Newark, N.J., to San Francisco, crashed in Shanksville, Pa.

CREW: Jason Dahl, Colorado, Captain; Leroy Homer, Marlton, N.J., First Officer; Sandy Bradshaw, flight attendant; CeeCee Lyles, flight attendant; Lorraine Bay, flight attendant; Wanda Green, flight attendant; Deborah Welsh, flight attendant.

May they all continue to enjoy peace in a much better place.

Mega Earnings Issue of PlaneBusiness Banter Now Posted! — United Airlines Tague and Mikells To Leave

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Hello everyone.

This week we have a 100-plus page earnings issue of PlaneBusiness Banter for you to peruse at your leisure. And yes, at that length, it should more than take up all of your leisure time for the week. Have no fear. Next week we’ll give you another one!

This week we take in-depth looks at the recent earnings results posted by American Airlines, US Airways, United Airlines, Continental Airlines and Delta Air Lines.

This coming week the PlaneBusiness microscope will be trained on the 2Q results of JetBlue, Alaska, AirTran, Allegiant and Southwest Airlines — which is scheduled to report its second quarter numbers on Thursday.

A couple of quick observations from the group we took a look at this week.

One, even before the formal announcement was issued this morning, it had been clear for some time that United Airlines President John Tague was not a member of the executive transition team that was going to stay with the “new” United. That fact was also crystal clear as you listened to the airline’s earnings call last week.

This morning, the airline formally announced that John, Kathryn Mikells, Graham Atkinson, and Rosemary Moore would not be staying with the “new” United.

Zane Rowe, current CFO at Continental will remain, but Pete McDonald will come over from United as COO. As for the rest of the top tier execs, including those heading up marketing, communications and HR, all will come from Continental. And of course, Jeff Smisek will be CEO.

We told you so. From the beginning.

Back to earnings.

Of this group, there was clearly one airline that posted earnings above and beyond — that airline was US Airways. In fact, while the airline’s numbers were great as they were, the airline would have seen their EPS figure come in 8 cents higher — had the airline chosen to classify a refund from the TSA as regular income — not a special item. (As some airlines chose to do, including United Airlines.)

The airline posted one great quarter. On a number of fronts. It managed to stash a nice chunk of cash as well.

As for United and Continental, it’s really kind of pointless to talk about them as viable standalones at this point because the merger looms in the background. In terms of potential stock investments — I’d say all bets are off here until after the actual merger is much further along.

Delta Air Lines, which was the subject of our last non-PBB post here in PlaneBuzz had a nice quarter, and yes, the comments it made about guidance and its fourth quarter increase in capacity were way overblown.

All of that capacity hysteria was so yesterday.

Good quarter for the folks in Atlanta.

And finally, American Airlines trudged out its loss for the quarter last week as well.

We are once again putting American Airlines on the official PlaneBusiness Titanic Watch this week. The airline announced a number of executive changes this last week — but I’m not sure they are going to be enough to get the airline out of its self-created sinkhole.

More on all that in this week’s issue.

We also wrap up the news from Farnborough, and we talk about the legal move US Airways announced Monday, as they try to attempt to break the seniority fight log jam that exists between its pilots.

And finally — yes, we talk about the ongoing Tarmac Tales. Consulting studies, DOT rants, and all.

All this, and more — including a shot of the new Virgin Atlantic livery. Woo hoo! (We have to do something to celebrate Sir Richard’s 60th birthday.)

Subscribers can access this week’s issue here.

PlaneBusiness Banter Posted!

Greetings to all on what was a very hot Memorial Day here in the Dallas-Ft.Worth Metromess.

I hope all of you had a good Memorial Day holiday and most importantly, I hope all of you took a minute between bites of your grilled hamburgers to thank those who serve this country in our Armed Forces. Or who have served.

The latest issue of PlaneBusiness Banter is now posted. Subscribers can access the newly posted issue here.

This week I talk about the new “ugly girl” in the industry. Yep, I’m talking about American Airlines and that airline’s merger options.

But American is in the news for other things — including yet another TA with a TWU-represented employee group. However, to say the union leadership gave the deal a lukewarm endorsement would be an understatement.

British Airways saw itself in the middle of yet another strike by its cabin crew members today. This one started on Sunday and as today is a Bank Holiday in the U.K, the work slowdown will probably hit the airline a bit more than the last one. Which just ended on Friday of last week.

I know. It’s pure insanity.

This last week airline stocks had a great week with shares of US Airways leading the pack. Handily. The main reason for this sudden burst of vitality? Two bullish analyst notes. JP Morgan analyst Jamie Baker upgraded the entire sector, and had very positive things to say about US Airways in particular. His comments were then followed by a bullish American Airlines/US Airways research note issued by Bob McAdoo with Avondale Partners just a few hours later.

The combined one-two punch was clearly felt across the sector, but especially in shares of US Airways.

Is the Porter Airlines IPO in trouble? First quarter numbers sure didn’t help it much.

Virgin Blue had a surprise for its investors this week, and in our Market Review this week we talk about the resurgence of private equity support for the aircraft leasing sector.

All this and more in this week’s edition of PlaneBusiness Banter.

United Airlines BOD Approves Deal With Continental Airlines

As expected, news reports this afternoon say that the board of directors of United Airlines has okayed a merger with Continental Airlines. The Continental BOD is expected to meet later today and do the same.

The expected merger is valued at more than $3 billion and the formal announcement is expected Monday.

For now, my lips are sealed. I’m in the middle of writing another 100 page earnings issue of PlaneBusiness Banter. But I will say this — I hope the folks at Continental did their homework.

Goodbye Houston, hello Chicago.

PlaneBusiness Banter Now Posted

home-typewriter copy 1.jpg This week’s issue of PlaneBusiness Banter is now posted. Subscribers can access the latest issue here.

This week we are talking about ….what else? The latest chapter in the United Airlines/Continental/US Airways mating dance.

Do we think anything has changed? What do we think is going to happen?

We also talk about the press release that Southwest Airlines issued Friday pertaining to its now-dead codeshare agreement with WestJet.

As our PlaneBusiness Brown Bag Analyst told PBB subscribers two weeks ago — this was all about New York. More on all that in this week’s issue.

Then, of course, there is that little problem of all that volcanic ash that is now making its way slowly over the UK and much of Europe. Volcanic ash and jet engines — not a good combination. For much of Europe, and all of the UK, air travel has effectively stopped altogether, although there were a few “test” flights that went up today — in an attempt to “measure” the level of ash in the atmosphere.

Right.

Meanwhile today Pratt and Whitney issued the following statement:

“Volcanic ash can damage aircraft and engines in several ways. P&WC encourages operators to refer to their airframe OEMs guidance on a potential volcanic ash encounter for additional information.

While P&WC acknowledges that the Local Regulatory Authority has the final determination of whether flight operation is to be conducted, we want to inform you, our customers, of potential hazards.

P&WC does not recommend operation in conditions where volcanic ash is present. Let us explain why.

Volcanic ash may clog air filters of turbine engines, block cooling air passages, erode the gas path components, and erode the protective paint on casings. Volcanic ash entering the engine can also melt in the combustor and then re-solidify on the static turbine vanes, potentially choking the turbine airflow and leading to surging and an in-flight shut-down. It is also noted that there is a high level of acidity associated with volcanic ash, and this may also lead to deterioration of engine components.”

Airline stocks had a pretty good week this week, but oil was positively volatile. Then there was the news of the SEC fraud case against Goldman Sachs. Oh boy. This is just the small tiny piece of what is going to be a very ugly iceberg. We tell you why.

And finally, in addition to all the other things we talk about this week — there is this major news.

This week we award, for only the second time in 14 years, a PlaneBusiness Wild Turkey Award to an airline CEO who we think has done an outstanding job in leading his employees and managing his airline. No hints. You’ll have to go find out who it is somewhere else.

And yes, the award is named in honor of you know who.

Hot Off the Rumor Mill: US Airways Set To Make Formal Offer for United Airlines

For what it’s worth, we’ve been hit by a number of emails in the last hour concerning a possible announcement regarding a move by US Airways on United Airlines.

While this would certainly be big news, for those of you who follow the industry (and hopefully by reading PlaneBusiness Banter), you shouldn’t be surprised.

Yee haw. I hope these rumors are spot on. I’m tired of reading emails about diaper bags and charging for carryons.

This Week in PlaneBusiness Banter

Terry Maxon with the Dallas Morning News dropped me a friendly note today and asked me if I had forgotten to finish my thought from last night.

No, just had to get my hard drive upgraded in the laptop today. And I simply forgot to update the post-in- progress from last night. My bad.

I could have used the excuse that I was trying to recover from what had to be one of the best sporting events I’ve ever watched last night — but no, I had a much more pedestrian excuse.

So what are we talking about in this week’s issue?

Judging from the email box today, the most talked-out piece is our PlaneBusiness Brown Bag Analyst guest column. In this column, a subscriber of ours who also just happens to be an expert in the confusing subject known as the Canadian aviation market, pens his take on the Southwest Airlines-WestJet codeshare “disagreement.”

Our guy knows his stuff.

And yes, of course I weigh in again on the American Airlines/JetBlue announcement from last week — following up on the blog post that first appeared here.

I still like the deal.

Then there is the story of the ALPA poster boy for ethics.

If you’ve read this month’s issue of Airline Pilot, the in-house mouthpiece of the Air Line Pilots Association, you know that, unfortunately, ALPA decided recently to parade out a particular ALPA member each month who it had determined exemplified the “best” of ALPA.

Yes, well, this month’s ALPA poster boy for ethics, Tim Martins, who we think has most recently been employed as a pilot for American Eagle, apparently has a problem with putting things on his Facebook page that aren’t true, much less telling the publication other, er, “facts” that now, apparently we find out, are not quite true.

A complete and total PR disaster for ALPA.

More on all this in this week’s issue.

We talk about the disappointing “agreement” that the EU and the U.S. recently trumpeted in the ongoing Open Skies negotiations. I’d argue, “What agreement?”

On the Wall Street front, one of the most well-respected airline analysts is coming back for more fun and frolic. He is going to take over for Mike Linenberg, who is getting ready to flee Bank of America/Merrill Lynch for Deutsche.

Who is the analyst that proves “everything new is old again?”

We also talk about Hudson Securities analyst Dan McKenzie’s latest competitive analysis notes. We always like to read these as they give us such a great insight as to how the major players are moving the chess men about the playing field.

We also have a couple of good letters this week, and a whole lot more.

If you are not already a subscriber to PlaneBusiness Banter — you should be. You can find out more here!

PlaneBusiness Banter Now Posted!

Hi guys. This week’s issue of PlaneBusiness Banter is now posted.

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This week we talk about round two of the British Airways strike — and about how we think Unite’s efforts are — or are not having — an effect on the airline’s operations.

Meanwhile, there is a pilot strike now scheduled against Lufthansa in two weeks. Not only are the pilots there picking up verbal support from other pilots groups worldwide, but now another airline employee group may join them on the picket line.

Did we just have an outbreak of Norovirus on an airline flight? Yuck.

WestJet’s new CEO dropped a bomb in an interview Friday with the Financial Post. Looks like WestJet isn’t going to wait on Southwest to get it’s IT act together. It’s apparently considering a codesharing agreement with Delta. Is this a good move for WestJet? We talk about it — as well as one of our subscribers who has been taking a closer look at the airline and its market opportunities.

Then there is the slot swap deal involving US Airways and Delta Air Lines. The two airlines don’t think the FAA should be involved in the deal at all. Or the DOT.

Want to take a guess as to who they think should make the decision on this proposed deal?

We have a guest columnist this week in PBB. I’m not tellin.’

Airline stocks had a great week again this week, we have the latest “Airline Question of the Week” from Morgan Stanley, and we talk about why it is Barclays is bullish on JetBlue in Beantown.

All this and more – as we all eagerly await the arrival of the Easter Bunny here at the PlaneBusiness Worldwide Headquarters later this week.

Subscribers can access this week’s issue here.