Monthly Archives: July 2008

AirTran’s a Goner; Will the Airways Curse Strike Again?

Us Cover

This month’s issue of Airways has AirTran as its cover story.

Uh-oh. (insert the audio from the “Psycho” shower scene here….)

For those of you who are not familiar with the Airways cover story curse, let’s just say that it seems an inordinate number of airlines featured as the cover story in the magazine over the last few years have either  shut down before the magazine even hit the stands, or their demise followed not too long after the fact.

Daily Bad News Rundown: Oil and Jet Fuel Hit Record Highs Again

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Sorry to be a bit late tonight with today’s oil news, but yours truly had a little trip to the dentist’s office today. I won’t go into the less than pleasant details. Which reminds me. I don’t think I’ve ever gone when there were pleasant details.

But anyway, this put me back at the WWH late, and well, to be honest, I then had to slurp some soup and take some pain killers before the throbbing in my gums would stop.

Okay, can I have some pity here or what?

Speaking of pity, I pity the airline CFOs out there. It’s not going to be a happy Fourth of July for them, as the price of both oil and jet fuel hit new record highs again today.

After a bit of bouncing around, oil closed today at $145.29, up $1.72 from yesterday.

On the jet fuel front, New York Harbor Jet A closed at $4.36/gallon. Yes, another record high.

I do have one bit of very good news that relates to Wall Street however.

The markets are closed tomorrow in honor of July 4th.

Woo hoo. Get the sparklers out and start the parade.

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American Airlines’ One Big Survival Plan In the News

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I’m shocked, shocked I tell you.

Reports tonight say American Airlines, British Airways and Spain’s Iberia are “close to applying for antitrust immunity to form a joint venture that would be one of the most powerful forces in the transatlantic aviation market.”

Their words, not mine.

It’s about time. I was beginning to wonder if the much-anticipated long-delayed anti-trust request was going to appear or not. I mean, there are political considerations to this move. As a result, I thought we would have heard this news earlier this spring.

Guess American wanted to make sure it “explored all of its options.”

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American Looking to Lay Off 900 Flight Attendants

The hits just keep on comin’ today.

American Airlines apparently sent out at least one of the official WARN letters today, outlining how it may reduce the number of union employees as of Aug. 31.

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The only union that has apparently received their letter, or at least the only one that has gone public about it is the Association of Professional Flight Attendants. The letter sent to them says the airline may furlough as many as 900 of the airline’s most junior flight attendants.

The airline says that it will offer those flight attendants who are at least 50 years old and with at least 15 years of seniority an option that would let them retire early with a $15K payment and limited travel and medical benefits.

The airline is also offering employees the option of taking a leave of absence, while maintaining their seniority, or the option to “buddy up” so to speak, with another attendant to “share” a position.

I imagine we’ll be hearing more from the mechanics and the pilots at American later in the day or in the morning as to what good news their WARN letters contained.

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I Think It’s Time To Go Lie Down Now: New Jet Fuel Record Hit as Oil Moves Up

Oil Rigs.Resize

Not much to say guys.

Not only did oil move up today on less than robust inventory numbers from the U.S. Department of Energy, but when all the shouting was done and oil closed up almost $3 to $143.57, jet fuel had hit new record levels as well.

Sitting down? Well, you might want to lie down.

New York Jet A closed at $4.32/gallon today.

Probably a good idea if you just stay prone for a while before attempting to get up.

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Hoeksema’s Letter to Midwest Employees Detailing Concessions

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This week in PlaneBusiness Banter, I wrote about how I feared we’d seen the video now unrolling at Midwest Airlines once too often.

The airline recently told employees that they would have to agree to major concessions – because new majority owner TPG would not consider any additional financing to the airline unless the airline could come up with a more healthy looking business plan.

Unfortunately, no matter how much Midwest cuts salaries, we all know the end of this story, and it’s not going to be pretty.

Midwest minority owner Northwest Airlines orchestrated this deal from the get-go, in an attempt to keep AirTran out of its backyard. Now all that’s left is for Northwest to figure out what it wants to keep from Midwest and let the rest of it …go away.

But for now, the fantasy of “sacrificing to keep the airline alive” will apparently continue.

As one reader said to us this morning, “It’s just sad.” Yes it is. For more than one reason.

Here’s the letter Midwest CEO Tim Hoeksema sent to employees this morning.

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To: All Midwest and Skyway Employees

Date: July 2, 2008

From: T.E. Hoeksema

Subject: Additional Details — Wage Reductions

In keeping with the promise I made to keep you informed, I am writing today to give you additional details on one of the action items in our restructuring plan regarding our employees — wage reductions.

Record-high fuel prices have put us in this predicament. As a result, we are taking action to restructure our airline: adjusting our fleet and network, and aligning our organization and costs to be able to compete and be profitable in this new energy economy. I believe that all domestic airlines will eventually need to restructure. We are implementing our restructuring in a comprehensive way, working to make significant and sustainable change quickly, whereas other airlines may make changes incrementally.

Unfortunately, there is no way to avoid deep and painful reductions to our current compensation. Our cost structure today, in advance of this restructuring, resembles that of airlines much larger than we are, with national and even global networks, flying larger aircraft. Following our restructuring, we will not have the larger aircraft and revenue generation capacity to support our current cost structure. Even the exemplary service you provide and the customer loyalty it engenders cannot overcome this disadvantage in the new energy environment of $140-a-barrel oil. Our choices are to fix this disparity so our costs better match our revenues, file for Chapter 11 and try to fix it there, or ignore it and fail as a business.

We believe our best choice — for ourselves, our customers and the communities we serve — is to step up to the difficult work in front of us and to restructure now on our terms. Many employees I’ve talked to over the last week agree with this decision when it’s presented in these stark, but realistic, terms.

If that’s our path, as we believe it should be, our guiding principles are clear:

·        Everyone participates in compensation reductions, productivity improvements or employee count reductions; no exceptions.

·        The reductions are fair and equitable.

“Fair and equitable” means applying the same standard to each work group and resetting everyone’s compensation to the market. That means benchmarking against airlines that fly aircraft of similar capacity, which is the basic component of our ability to generate revenue. Our commitment to set all employees’ wages and benefits to a consistent standard extends across all of our work groups, with the actual percentage wage reductions varying by work group.

Represented Work Groups

Our top-of-scale rate for pilots is currently 32% higher than the average hourly pay for pilots who fly aircraft of similar capacity for other airlines. The cost of pension, health and other benefits for our pilots is 45% higher than the average at comparably sized airlines. Productivity per pilot is also less than at comparably sized airlines.

Similarly, our flight attendants are earning above-market wages and benefits, although in this case the premium is smaller. Our top-of-scale rate for flight attendants is currently 23% higher than the average hourly pay for flight attendants in the cabins of aircraft of similar capacity.

Given these realities and the actions we need to take to adjust our fleet and network, we are proposing pay reductions, benefit adjustments and productivity improvements to the Airline Pilots Association and the Association of Flight Attendants to align pay and benefits for our pilots and flight attendants with comparably sized airlines.

Non-Represented Work Groups

According to salary surveys, many Midwest non-represented employees earn wages on average that are at or below those of employees at comparably sized airlines. Based on this, the average reduction in compensation for non-represented employees will be:

·        Maintenance technicians — 10%.

·        Professional staff (Grade 9-13) — 5%.

These reductions will be effective upon ratification of the ALPA and AFA agreements.

Midwest administrative staff (Grade 1-8) and Skyway employees will not experience a compensation reduction, nor will Midwest station employees. This decision is based on what the market currently provides in terms of compensation for these work groups, in conjunction with them taking significant reductions in employees through improvements in productivity and changes in capacity.

Senior management will earn wages and benefits below their peer group average. This reflects our belief as a management team that we should lead by example and that we bear ultimate responsibility for keeping our airline competitive.

·        As CEO, I will take a 40% reduction in my total pay.

·        Senior vice presidents will take a 25% reduction in total pay.

·        Officers (vice presidents) will take a 17% reduction in total pay.

·        Directors and senior managers will take an 11% reduction in total pay.

My pay reduction and those of the senior vice presidents will be effective July 15; the reductions for other members of senior management will be effective upon ratification of the ALPA and AFA agreements. I want to clarify two points regarding management pay. First, members of senior management have a greater percentage of their total pay “at risk.” Total pay includes salary plus incentive compensation awarded for the achievement of individual goals and on overall company performance. Second, the notion of incentive compensation based on our airline’s profit target this year is largely a moot point, since we’re in a restructuring mode, not a profit-achieving mode.

Some may say that our proposals aren’t fairly allocated “across the board” because the percentages aren’t uniform from one work group to the next. I understand the appeal of that argument, but it’s a false appeal; the pay and benefit reductions are fair, equitable and based on the market rates for similar positions at comparably sized airlines.

Please don’t misunderstand me; these are significant reductions by any measure and will cause great hardship to our employees and their families.

Regarding reductions in staffing, there is no way to minimize the depth of reductions we need to make to implement a comprehensive restructuring. We are still working through a position-by-position evaluation of every function within our airline, so it’s not yet possible to tell each employee whether the reductions will directly impact her or his job. But we promise to complete those efforts as quickly as possible and to communicate them in the most compassionate way possible.

Be assured that I do not underestimate the stress and concern this situation is causing you and your family, and I wish it could be avoided. At the same time, I cannot overstate the admiration and respect I hold for each member of the Midwest family as we continue day in and day out to deliver “The best care in the air.” It is that strong spirit and pride that has made us successful and will sustain us through this difficult chapter in our history.

Thank you.

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Who Would Have Thunk It? British Airways Scoops up L’Avion

Logo Elysair

Some mildly surprising news out today from British Airways, which announced it was buying  French airline L’Avion for about $108 million.

L’Avion is an all business-class trans-Atlantic carrier, a lonely survivor in a niche that not too long ago was populated by Silverjet, EOS, and MaxJet. The airline has been flying Boeing 757s between Paris-Orly and Newark twice a day, Monday through Friday.

The move comes after British Airways recently unrolled its new OpenSkies airline — which began daily flights between Paris and JFK.

British Airways says it is going to combine the airline with its existing OpenSkies operation, which will allow it to fly three daily flights between Paris Orly and the New York market.

On first blush, it would appear that British Airways believes this was a quick and dirty way to grow its operation. It also gives them access to more slots at Orly, which is probably worth more than a few francs.

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AirTran Asking All Employees for Concessions; Pilot Furloughs Coming With September Reductions

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According to reports out tonight, AirTran management has asked ALL of its employees for “temporary, short-term concessions as part of its efforts to address the current industry crisis.”

The company also said it is planning to furlough pilots as part of its capacity reductions scheduled to take place in September. The company apparently outlined its plans today in memos to employees.

The National Pilots Association, which represents pilots at the airline, said today that it is anticipating at least 180 furloughs. The official notification is scheduled in the next couple of days.

In addition, the airline said in its memo to the pilots that it has “requested an 11% wage reduction for captains and an 8% wage reduction for first officers.”

Remember when the word “furlough” meant something pleasant?

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It Has to Get Better…Doesn’t It?

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One of our PlaneBusiness Banter subscribers wrote this afternoon,

AMR types had a milestone moment today (not the good type either) the stock options issued in 03 are now officially underwater! ($5 strike price).

P.S. maybe can I write the loss off on my taxes ;-)”



That’s one way to look at it.

Yep. Another bad day in the airline sector today as oil closed up almost a buck, ending the day at $140.97.  This was after it shot up as high as $143 and change earlier in the day.

Once again, the airline sector took a hit today. Not as bad as some of the days we’ve seen of late, but of all the airline stocks we track, only two posted small gains on the day — Ryanair which saw ADRs up 2%, closing at 29.10, and Hawaiian Airlines, which saw shares up 1%, closing at 7 bucks even.

Just a sampling of the losses posted for the day.

AMR, parent of American Airlines: down 5% to 4.85.

Alaska down 4% to 14.70

Allegiant, down 7% to 17.33

Delta down 3% to 5.53

Continental down 1% to 9.96

US Airways down 4% to 2.41

Northwest down 2% to 6.52

Southwest was essentially flat on the day, closing at 12.99

ExpressJet down another 5% to 52 cents/share

United Airlines down a whopping 12% — ending the day at 4.60.

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