Monthly Archives: January 2007

Herb Joins the Feds

Well, not those Feds.

Herb

Southwest Airlines chairman Herb Kelleher was named Thursday to the board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas for a one-year term.

Each regional Federal Reserve bank has a nine-member board that includes representatives of commercial banks, the public and members appointed by the Board of Governors in Washington.

Alright Herb! The Dallas Fed could probably use a little levity these days.

However, I don’t think they allow smoking in those Fed meetings.

This could pose a problem.

It’s Now Past Noon, Time for the Tailgating to Begin

New-Orleans-Saints-Logo

Pardon me while I take a moment to bask in the hysteria that is New Orleans today. Tomorrow will only be worse. Or better — depending upon your point of view.

And trust me — chances to actually feel good about something in this part of the world are few and far between. So excuse my overt enthusiasm for what, in other parts of the world, would be viewed as just your normal run-of-the-mill NFL playoff game.

Not here. Here it is a chance for people to forget the otherwise depressing story of New Orleans. It’s a chance to shift gears, change the channel, go to another planet. Bask in something that feels good — not bad.

Yesterday, thousands of city residents marched on City Hall out of frustration and anger at the city’s total lack of leadership in addressing the city’s mounting crime problem. But today, it’s time to forget all about that. If only for a day. Or two.

Yep, living in New Orleans these days is not easy. I’m not sure what it is, but one thing I do know is it requires a lot of flexibility, stamina, and well, a schizophrenic personality probably doesn’t hurt.

But today the countdown to the NFC playoff game against the Philadelphia Eagles begins in earnest.

Tomorrow night it will culminate in a wild frenzy of black and gold clad fans, all of whom look to the Saints success this year as a hopeful metaphor for their own rebirth and restoration.

Kick-off is at 7.

I’m off to find my bloody mary.

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz…….

Home-Typewriter Copy-9

Oh, hi there.

It’s just us. We’re up late tonight. How ’bout you? Thought we’d pretend like we worked for an airline that is considering a deal for another airline. And stay up all night.

Heh.

Okay enough goofiness. This week’s PlaneBusiness Banter is now ready for perusal. Subscribers can access this week’s issue here.

AirTran Jumps Into the Sugar Bowl

Midwest Airlines Signature With Tag Line

Not to be outdone by US Airways’ “sweetened deal” move on Delta Wednesday, Thursday morning it was disclosed that AirTran has sweetened its own hostile bid for Midwest Airlines.



AirTran
is now offering to purchase Midwest for about $345 million, an increase of about 18% over its previous offer.

The new offer is the equivalent of $13.25 a share, based on the closing price of Midwest stock on Monday. It’s also a 3% premium on the closing price Wednesday. It’s also just about where most analysts and observers had estimated AirTran would have to move to — if the airline was to have any chance at forcing a deal.

The Midwest board of directors voted “no” in early December on AirTran’s initial offer of $11.25 a share.

Not surprisingly, this time Joe and the folks in Orlando took the deal directly to Midwest’s shareholders, completing ignoring the airline’s board of directors, which has been loathe to discuss a potential merger with AirTran.

According to Joe Leonard, AirTran CEO, “We thought we’d let the owners decide.”

The deal expires on Feb. 8.

My thoughts on this one? I’m not convinced this is as good a move for AirTran as the airline has put forth.

Having said that — at $13.25 a share — this offer is clearly in the range of being one that just might be too good for the larger institutional shareholders of Midwest to pass up. Don’t think that AirTran management has not been in direct contact with them and therefore feel they have a good sense of what it is going to take to get these guys onboard a deal.

I don’t think there’s any question this is going to bring intense pressure from those shareholders towards Midwest management.

And hey — at some point the members of the Midwest management team has to start looking at what they would get out of this deal — and start to think about how nice it would be to see all those dineros in their bank accounts.

Having said that, from an airline standpoint alone — this one is really not a potential match-up we like. I understand why AirTran wants to do it — I’m just not sure it’s going to work out very well for them in the long term — for a number of reasons.

Tickers: MEH:AMEX,AAI:NYSE,LCC:NYSE

Delta Creditors Urge Delta to Consider US Airways Offer

No surprise here.



MarketWatch
reports tonight that the Unofficial Committee of Unsecured Claimholders of Delta Air Lines has officially urged the airline to “provide thoughtful and unbiased consideration” to the new bid from US Airways.

The committee said it believes the best interests of shareholders will be served if Delta takes steps such as providing “reasonable and customary access” for US Airways to perform due diligence, and postponing Delta’s Disclosure Statement hearing scheduled for Feb. 7 to allow Delta to fully evaluate US Airways’ proposal.

Northwest-Delta Rumors Go Public

Nwa

Before we left on our holiday hiatus, we mentioned in PBB that we thought the next “major” news we would hear concerning a potential merger link-up would involve Northwest.

Well, sometimes things take time to come to fruition.

Today the Wall Street Journal is reporting that the two airlines are discussing a potential merger, perhaps “after bankruptcy.”

Not sure why they would want to wait — but that is the word this afternoon.

As for the logistics of such a deal, analyst David Strine with Bear Stearns wrote in November,

“All told, the combination would create a massive airline with global reach, better able to harness the power of the SkyTeam alliance as both DAL-Air France and Northwest-KLM separately have transatlantic anti-trust immunity., While the international networks are reasonably complementary, there is no domestic overlap between the carriers’ top 20 city pairs. Further, the fleets have one plane type in common and nine that differ. Finally, the pilots are both represented by ALPA, and none of Delta’s other major [employee groups] is unionized, a potential boon for Northwest.

Just As We Expected: LCC Rolls Out the Heavy Artillery

061115 Us Airwaves Delta Merger

Monday we wrote about the additional financial heft US Airways had put in place as it was announced Morgan Stanley had been added to its merger finance team. Today, as expected, that increased financial heft manifested itself in a “sweetened” deal for Delta Air Lines.

US Airways this morning raised its bid for Delta from $4 billion and 78 million shares to $5 billion and 89.5 million shares. Terms of the deal? The new offer will expire on Feb 1 unless US Airways receives creditor support for the commencement of due diligence, there is an HSR filing, and the currently scheduled Feb. 7 hearing on Delta’s disclosure statement is postponed.

Gary Chase, analyst at Lehman Brothers wrote this morning, the “new deal terms [are] very much in line with current bond prices which had advanced well beyond initial LCC deal terms. Offer value is $10.2 billion based on last night’s close to a comparable Delta stand-alone valuation, in our view, of $8-9.5 billion.”

Ticker: LCC:NYSE

United: Beijing Here We Come

United Airlines Logo.03

The DOT made it official today. It awarded the new China route to United Airlines.

United was granted the right to fly its proposed “capital to capital” service from Dulles to Beijing. US Airways supported the United proposal. Continental, Northwest and American had also applied for the right to fly the route, but, as you may recall American’s proposal was amended in December. The DOT ruled the change to the airline’s proposal came too late and was too great — therefore American’s revised proposal which had it flying one-stop from DFW to Beijing, via Chicago, was not even considered.

The tentative order can be found here.

Ticker: UAUA:Nasdaq,LCC:NYSE,CAL:NYSE,AMR:NYSE

Frontier’s December One to Forget

Frontier Logo

We knew it was going to be ugly, and yep, it is.

Frontier issued its December traffic release tonight.

Revenue passenger miles decreased 2.2% to 606,723,000 for December 2006 from the same period last year. Available seat miles increased 1.7% to 889,373,000 for December 2006 from the same period last year. This resulted in a load factor for December 2006 of 68.2%, a decrease of 2.7 points from December 2005, when the airline reported a load factor of 70.9%.

CEO Jeff Potter added the frosting to the mess that is going to be the airline’s financial result for December, as he added in the release,

“December passenger revenue performance was negatively impacted by approximately $11 million due to two major December snowstorms, one of which completely shut down our primary hub, Denver International Airport (DIA), for almost 48 hours,” said Jeff Potter, President and CEO of Frontier Airlines. “In addition, while we are unable to provide a definitive snowstorm cost estimate at this time, we do anticipate that there will be significant variable expenses, such as glycol expense ($1.1 million in storm related costs), partially offset by variable costs we didn’t incur while the airport was shut down. Combined with these net additional storm related expenses, our loss of storm related available seat miles (ASMs) in the December quarter will result in higher unit costs than previously anticipated.”

Ticker: (FRNT:Nasdaq)